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    <title>Alan Delgado de Oliveira — Writing</title>
    <link>https://delgadoliveira.github.io/writing/</link>
    <description>Notes from practice and papers on AI evaluation, experimentation, agents, retrieval, and optimization.</description>
    <language>en-us</language>
    <item>
      <title>Separating capability, causal effect, and rollout risk</title>
      <link>https://delgadoliveira.github.io/writing/evidence-stack/</link>
      <guid isPermaLink="true">https://delgadoliveira.github.io/writing/evidence-stack/</guid>
      <pubDate>Wed, 23 Sep 2026 12:00:00 GMT</pubDate>
      <description>Why offline evaluation, online experiments, and progressive rollout analysis answer different questions.</description>
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